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2012-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Rice Owls TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +4 (78-74). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Frizzelle * 39 5-14 1-4 3-4 1 4 2 0 1 14 6 -
Tamir Jackson * 38 5-15 3-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 13 3 -
Arsalan Kazemi * 37 7-10 0-0 3-5 14 3 0 1 1 17 24 -
Lucas Kuipers * 31 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 8 8 -
Dylan Ennis * 28 6-8 2-2 4-6 3 6 0 1 2 18 18 -
David Chadwick 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Ahmad Ibrahim 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Julian DeBose 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Omar Oraby 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Jarelle Reischel 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nate Schwarze 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hank Thorns * 38 1-8 1-4 5-6 4 9 0 0 2 8 11 -
J.R. Cadot * 31 3-6 0-0 4-4 3 0 2 0 0 10 9 -
Kyan Anderson * 29 5-11 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 13 6 -
Garlon Green * 21 3-10 2-6 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Craig Williams * 17 2-5 0-1 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Amric Fields 22 7-11 2-5 2-3 6 2 2 1 1 18 17 -
Adrick McKinney 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 6 10 7 -
Nate Butler Lind 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Connell Crossland 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Jarvis Ray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter