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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2017 Team Stats (8 games)

70.1
PPG
74.0
Opp
-3.9
Margin
43.9%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
69.9%
FT%
35.5
RPG
15.6
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.2
Adj PPG
64.0
Adj Opp PPG
#29
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1350 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1181 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1093 (#54) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +14.5 (#29) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +16.4 (#21) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.678 (#74) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.5 More โ†’ 0.914 (#29) AdjNet +20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.8 More โ†’ 0.917 (#29) AdjNet +20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 64.0 More โ†’ 0.768 (#29) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 64.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.713 (#25) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.828 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.820 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 82 | GP 38 More โ†’ 1230 (#44) RD 82 | GP 38

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs St. Thomas (TX) Celts W 82 - 64
2016-11-14 vs Alabama State Hornets W 98 - 62
2016-11-18 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 79 - 60
2016-11-21 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 80 - 71
2016-11-25 @ UNLV Rebels W 63 - 59
2016-11-26 vs Washington Huskies W 93 - 80
2016-11-30 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 71
2016-12-03 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 77 - 54
2016-12-07 @ SMU Mustangs L 59 - 74
2016-12-10 vs Wofford Terriers W 72 - 63
2016-12-18 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 96 - 59
2016-12-21 vs Bradley Braves W 74 - 42
2016-12-30 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 80 - 86
2017-01-03 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 60 - 57
2017-01-07 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 70 - 82
2017-01-11 @ Texas Longhorns W 64 - 61
2017-01-14 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 84 - 77
2017-01-18 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 69 - 75
2017-01-21 vs Baylor Bears L 53 - 62
2017-01-23 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 76 - 89
2017-01-28 vs Auburn Tigers L 80 - 88
2017-02-01 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 86 - 80
2017-02-04 vs Texas Longhorns W 78 - 63
2017-02-07 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 62 - 61
2017-02-11 @ Baylor Bears L 52 - 70
2017-02-15 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 68 - 71
2017-02-18 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 71 - 84
2017-02-22 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 87
2017-02-25 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 60 - 61
2017-03-01 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 74 - 75
2017-03-04 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 68 - 73
2017-03-08 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 82 - 63
2017-03-09 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 85 - 82
2017-03-10 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 63 - 84
2017-03-15 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 66 - 59
2017-03-19 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 94 - 92
2017-03-21 vs Richmond Spiders W 86 - 68
2017-03-28 @ UCF Knights W 68 - 53
2017-03-30 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 88 - 56

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Vladimir Brodziansky Vladimir Brodziansky F 27 24.4 14.4 5.6 0.7 0.3 2.1 1.2 4.5 17.4 130 33 3.9 7.1 51.2 35.7 72.1 2.7 131.2 53.3
Kenrich Williams Kenrich Williams - 26 33.8 11.8 10.2 3.0 1.7 0.7 1.2 4.6 21.5 47 32 1.5 1.9 50.0 32.6 60.7 0.33 116.4 55.8
Alex Robinson Alex Robinson G 27 33.7 10.9 3.2 6.2 1.6 0.5 2.9 4.6 14.8 127 33 3.8 5.1 41.6 38.9 75.0 3.94 103.4 47.2
Jaylen Fisher Jaylen Fisher G 23 29.3 10.3 2.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 2.7 4.6 9.7 42 29 1.4 2.2 37.1 39.6 80.0 1.02 102.2 46.2
JD Miller JD Miller F 26 18.7 7.2 2.8 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.0 2.2 8.6 -2 31 -0.1 -0.1 39.3 28.6 58.8 -0.62 146.5 44.6
Desmond Bane Desmond Bane - 27 21.1 6.9 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.7 8.6 88 33 2.7 5.6 50.0 42.9 85.7 1.51 168.4 56.5
Brandon Parrish Brandon Parrish G 27 18.7 5.4 2.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 2.2 6.8 135 33 4.1 9.3 33.9 21.6 80.0 3.32 115.9 40.7
Karviar Shepherd Karviar Shepherd F 27 10.7 3.9 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.0 4.9 -19 32 -0.6 -2.4 50.0 0 42.9 -3.16 167.3 50.0
M. Trent-Street M. Trent-Street G 7 9.7 3.3 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.9 47 9 5.2 18.6 42.9 0.0 0 1.41 164.3 42.9
Michael Williams Michael Williams G 21 8.7 2.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.7 5 25 0.2 1.0 38.9 36.4 100.0 -1.13 135.1 50.0
Chris Washburn Chris Washburn F 25 7.0 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 3.4 17 29 0.6 4.0 64.3 0.0 56.2 0.25 126.0 64.3
Dalton Dry Dalton Dry G 10 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -7 7 -1.0 -19.0 0.0 0 50.0 -2.66 121.5 0.0
Josh Parrish Josh Parrish F 9 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 -10 7 -1.4 -22.1 0.0 0.0 0 -3.25 200.0 0.0
Austin Sottile Austin Sottile F 9 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 -5 6 -0.8 -20.7 100.0 0 0 -1.54 200.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG