Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenrich Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Jaylen Fisher * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| JD Miller * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Karviar Shepherd * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex Robinson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Vladimir Brodziansky | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Parrish | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Trent-Street | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Washburn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semi Ojeleye * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 34 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ben Emelogu | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Harry Froling | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dashawn McDowell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter