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2017-03-28

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 48.6% 51.4% +0.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% -
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% -

Actual: UCF Knights -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams * 36 6-11 2-4 0-2 14 7 0 0 2 14 22 -
A. Robinson * 34 2-10 1-3 0-0 4 6 0 1 3 5 3 -
D. Bane * 33 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 2 2 5 6 -
V. Brodziansky * 22 7-13 0-1 4-8 9 3 0 1 2 18 16 -
J. Miller * 21 4-7 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 1 0 9 6 -
B. Parrish 18 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Williams 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
C. Washburn 9 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
K. Shepherd 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Parrish 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dry 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Sottile 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams Jr. * 39 5-17 3-11 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 15 4 -
B.J. Taylor * 38 4-15 1-7 1-4 5 1 1 0 1 10 1 -
N. Banyard * 35 1-4 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 3 8 -
A.J. Davis * 32 3-7 0-1 3-4 3 2 2 0 2 9 7 -
T. Fall * 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 6 2 7 12 -
C. Brown 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
T. Efianayi 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
N. Laing 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Morse 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Stephenson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Mumin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter