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Illinois State Redbirds 71
@
TCU Horned Frogs 80
2016-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 15.9% 84.1% - ✓
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.1 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% - ✓

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Lee 38 4-8 2-4 3-4 2 7 2 0 5 13 11 -
M. McIntosh 37 6-13 3-5 5-5 9 0 3 1 7 20 13 -
D. Clayton 35 4-7 2-4 3-6 5 3 2 0 3 13 13 -
T. Wills 25 0-3 0-1 3-4 3 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
D. Hawkins 23 3-8 1-4 1-1 4 3 0 1 0 8 8 -
K. Evans 20 2-8 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
P. Fayne 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
A. Washington 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams 32 5-12 1-3 2-2 10 3 2 0 2 13 14 -
A. Robinson 32 5-8 1-1 3-5 1 6 3 0 2 14 14 -
B. Parrish 29 1-4 1-2 2-2 7 3 1 0 0 5 12 -
J. Fisher 29 4-13 3-6 4-4 2 5 2 0 4 15 7 -
V. Brodziansky 24 7-8 0-0 10-13 6 1 0 1 1 24 23 -
D. Bane 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Shepherd 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
M. Trent-Street 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Miller 9 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 2 -

* = starter