Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Lee | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh | 37 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 13 | - |
| DJ Clayton | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tony Wills | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans | 20 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Phil Fayne | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Andre Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Madison Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenrich Williams | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Alex Robinson | 32 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Parrish | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Fisher | 29 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Brodziansky | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Desmond Bane | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Karviar Shepherd | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Trent-Street | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JD Miller | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter