Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +23 (77-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Carter * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Rashad Lindsey * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Donte Thomas * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nelson Nweke * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Deven Simms | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tamas Bruce | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Connor Kern | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenrich Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 30 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| JD Miller * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Jaylen Fisher * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Karviar Shepherd * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Vladimir Brodziansky | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Alex Robinson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Parrish | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Michael Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Trent-Street | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Washburn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter