St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 850 (#724) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#674) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 929 (#576) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.3 (#392) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.2 (#356) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.395 (#580) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#356) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#373) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 836 (#576) | RD 162 | GP 24 |
2022 Schedule & Results
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Morales
|
- | 2 | 31.0 | 14.5 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 25.0 | 220 | 8.5 | 10.4 | 38.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.8 | 111.5 | 42.3 |
R. Rogers
|
F | 2 | 24.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 218 | 8.1 | 14.2 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.63 | 108.7 | 70.8 |
J. Cohen
|
- | 22 | 27.0 | 13.1 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 21.7 | -19 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 |
S. Beckton Jr.
|
G | 1 | 38.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | -52 | -1.7 | -2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.07 | 0 | 0 |
R. Giles Jr.
|
- | 10 | 30.5 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 130 | 4.6 | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 |
R. Dixon-Conover
|
G | 12 | 32.8 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 17.8 | -110 | -4.4 | -5.4 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.43 | 578.2 | 30.0 |
T. Mitchell
|
G | 2 | 32.5 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 |
Myles Thompson
|
- | 8 | 26.4 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 15.2 | -76 | -3.6 | -5.9 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.06 | 1450.0 | 100.0 |
M. Land
|
- | 12 | 34.0 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 14.5 | -104 | -3.5 | -4.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 577.3 | 9.1 |
N. Opoku
|
F | 2 | 28.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 |
J. Berry III
|
G | 1 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -69 | -3.5 | -6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.34 | 0 | 0 |
M. Flagg
|
F | 11 | 21.0 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 15.0 | -77 | -2.7 | -5.9 | 71.4 | 0 | 14.3 | -0.1 | 372.0 | 71.4 |
N. Jackson
|
F | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 33 | 2.4 | 7.9 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.79 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
M. Bragg
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | -59 | -3.7 | -14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
W. Martinez
|
G | 2 | 23.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 191 | 7.3 | 10.9 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.15 | 76.1 | 35.7 |
B. McCabe
|
- | 14 | 19.4 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 10.1 | -17 | -1.1 | -2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
M. Hargis
|
- | 24 | 18.3 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 8.5 | -133 | -4.4 | -9.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.01 | 1083.3 | 58.3 |
E. Ford
|
G | 1 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 196 | 10.9 | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.53 | 0 | 0 |
Zahree Harrison
|
- | 12 | 22.5 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5.8 | -110 | -3.7 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.53 | 230.5 | 50.0 |
L. Ruggery
|
- | 19 | 13.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -6 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
J. Coleman
|
- | 10 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 4.0 | -139 | -4.5 | -6.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.2 | 189.1 | 33.3 |
A.J. Labriola
|
G | 4 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 87.5 | 62.5 |
A. Miller
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 60 | 5.5 | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
B. Scanlon
|
- | 6 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Alexander
|
F | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -71 | -2.4 | -6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 0 | 0 |
B. Seidel
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Ikediashi
|
- | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG