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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 850 (#724) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 898 (#674) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 929 (#576) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +10.3 (#392) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -0.2 (#356) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.395 (#580) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.449 (#356) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.418 (#373) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 24 More → 836 (#576) RD 162 | GP 24

2022 Schedule & Results

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Morales A. Morales - 2 31.0 14.5 9.0 8.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 6.5 25.0 220 8.5 10.4 38.5 100.0 0 0.8 111.5 42.3
R. Rogers R. Rogers F 2 24.0 14.0 10.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 6.0 19.0 218 8.1 14.2 66.7 100.0 0.0 1.63 108.7 70.8
J. Cohen J. Cohen - 22 27.0 13.1 7.1 1.9 0.3 0.7 1.5 0.0 21.7 -19 -0.7 -1.1 0 0 0 0.44 0 0
S. Beckton Jr. S. Beckton Jr. G 1 38.0 13.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 21.0 -52 -1.7 -2.2 0 0 0 1.07 0 0
R. Giles Jr. R. Giles Jr. - 10 30.5 12.2 2.8 2.7 1.2 0.3 1.2 0.0 18.0 130 4.6 9.8 0 0 0 1.59 0 0
R. Dixon-Conover R. Dixon-Conover G 12 32.8 11.3 4.1 2.7 2.5 0.3 2.2 0.8 17.8 -110 -4.4 -5.4 30.0 0.0 50.0 -0.43 578.2 30.0
T. Mitchell T. Mitchell G 2 32.5 11.0 3.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
Myles Thompson Myles Thompson - 8 26.4 10.9 4.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 2.0 0.4 15.2 -76 -3.6 -5.9 66.7 66.7 0 -0.06 1450.0 100.0
M. Land M. Land - 12 34.0 10.6 3.5 1.4 1.2 0.3 1.6 0.9 14.5 -104 -3.5 -4.1 9.1 0.0 0 -0.07 577.3 9.1
N. Opoku N. Opoku F 2 28.5 9.0 5.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
J. Berry III J. Berry III G 1 9.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 -69 -3.5 -6.8 0 0 0 1.34 0 0
M. Flagg M. Flagg F 11 21.0 6.8 7.0 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.6 15.0 -77 -2.7 -5.9 71.4 0 14.3 -0.1 372.0 71.4
N. Jackson N. Jackson F 1 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 33 2.4 7.9 66.7 66.7 0 0.79 100.0 100.0
M. Bragg M. Bragg G 1 14.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 -59 -3.7 -14.5 0 0 0 -0.48 0 0
W. Martinez W. Martinez G 2 23.5 6.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 2.5 3.5 8.0 191 7.3 10.9 28.6 50.0 50.0 1.15 76.1 35.7
B. McCabe B. McCabe - 14 19.4 5.6 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.0 10.1 -17 -1.1 -2.5 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
M. Hargis M. Hargis - 24 18.3 5.4 3.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.2 8.5 -133 -4.4 -9.0 50.0 50.0 0 -1.01 1083.3 58.3
E. Ford E. Ford G 1 27.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 17.0 196 10.9 16.0 0 0 0 1.53 0 0
Zahree Harrison Zahree Harrison - 12 22.5 3.8 1.4 2.0 1.3 0.0 2.1 0.7 5.8 -110 -3.7 -6.8 50.0 0 75.0 -0.53 230.5 50.0
L. Ruggery L. Ruggery - 19 13.9 2.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 3.6 -6 -0.3 -0.8 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
J. Coleman J. Coleman - 10 6.0 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 4.0 -139 -4.5 -6.2 33.3 0 25.0 0.2 189.1 33.3
A.J. Labriola A.J. Labriola G 4 6.8 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -0.08 87.5 62.5
A. Miller A. Miller G 1 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 60 5.5 15.1 0 0 0 0.58 0 0
B. Scanlon B. Scanlon - 6 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Alexander J. Alexander F 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -71 -2.4 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
B. Seidel B. Seidel - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Ikediashi C. Ikediashi - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG