Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -2 (52-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mezie Offurum * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre Thomas * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Nana Opoku * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Malik Jefferson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Benjamin * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Dakota Leffew | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Josh Reaves | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jaylin Gibson | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jedy Cordilia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Frantisek Barton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Land * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Josh Cohen * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Brad McCabe * | 33 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ramiir Dixon-Conover * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Mark Flagg * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marlon Hargis | 27 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Zahree Harrison | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Luke Ruggery | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeriah Coleman | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter