Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Minor * | 45 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Ziggy Reid * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jordan McKoy * | 38 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mikey Watkins * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mykel Derring * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Malik Edmead | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nick Filchner | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Isaacson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Land * | 44 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Marlon Hargis * | 42 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Josh Cohen * | 38 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Ramiir Dixon-Conover * | 37 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Luke Ruggery * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad McCabe | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zahree Harrison | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Flagg | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jeriah Coleman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter