Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Land * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Ramiir Dixon-Conover * | 36 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Myles Thompson * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Mark Flagg * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marlon Hargis * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Zahree Harrison | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeriah Coleman | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Delonnie Hunt * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Ford * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Raekwon Rogers * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Zaire Williams * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Will Martinez | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jahbril Price-Noel | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Mier Fletcher | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Javier Ezquerra | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ashton Miller | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Rob Taylor II | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter