🐻⬇️🏀

San Diego State Aztecs

Also known as: San Diego State Aztecs
Program History

2025 Team Stats (12 games)

73.8
PPG
64.3
Opp
+9.2
Margin
44.4%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
36.8
RPG
13.3
APG
10.8
TO
78.5
Pace
73.9
AdjO
61.9
AdjD
#60
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1079 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1245 (#31) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.8 (#58) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.688 (#76) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.700 (#69) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.9 More → 0.887 (#54) AdjNet +17.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.1 More → 0.890 (#54) AdjNet +18.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.750 (#60) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 61.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 63 - 58
2024-11-12 vs Occidental Tigers W 100 - 49
2024-11-18 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 67 - 80
2024-11-26 vs Creighton Bluejays W 71 - 53
2024-11-27 @ Oregon Ducks L 68 - 78
2024-11-30 @ Houston Cougars W 73 - 70
2024-12-04 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 84 - 62
2024-12-07 vs San Diego Toreros W 74 - 57
2024-12-11 vs California Baptist Lancers W 81 - 75
2024-12-21 @ California Golden Bears W 71 - 50
2024-12-28 vs Utah State Aggies L 66 - 67
2025-01-04 @ Boise State Broncos W 76 - 68
2025-01-08 vs Air Force Falcons W 67 - 38
2025-03-18 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 95

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Boyd N. Boyd - 14 29.6 13.1 4.5 3.4 1.3 0.0 1.9 10.4 10.0 88 2.8 3.7 39.7 38.6 76.9 2.25 54.2 49.0
M. Byrd M. Byrd - 13 28.2 12.6 4.2 2.3 1.7 1.1 1.5 9.8 10.6 151 5.0 6.2 40.9 34.8 85.7 2.55 56.4 50.4
BJ Davis BJ Davis - 14 25.7 10.3 3.9 1.6 1.9 0.1 1.0 8.1 8.7 164 5.7 7.9 48.7 38.6 85.0 2.45 59.1 56.2
Coleman-Jones, Jared Coleman-Jones, Jared - 14 25.3 7.3 5.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.4 6.4 6.9 - - - 41.1 30.8 62.5 - 49.0 45.6
Wayne Mckinney Iii Wayne Mckinney Iii - 14 19.2 7.1 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.6 7.0 2.6 -48 -2.5 -6.1 39.8 39.4 61.5 0.11 47.7 46.4
M. Gwath M. Gwath - 14 23.3 7.0 4.2 0.8 0.3 2.7 1.1 5.9 8.0 100 3.8 5.2 41.5 39.1 65.6 2.07 51.0 47.0
P. Compton P. Compton - 13 14.5 6.7 3.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 1.2 4.8 5.2 27 1.4 5.3 62.9 0 47.4 0.16 61.8 62.9
T. DeGourville T. DeGourville - 14 18.2 5.3 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.6 5.2 5.8 -7 -0.4 -0.8 37.0 28.6 83.3 0.18 47.3 43.8
M. Heide M. Heide - 13 12.9 3.5 3.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.0 63 3.7 7.8 70.0 25.0 18.2 0.84 64.6 71.7
Kimo Ferrari Kimo Ferrari - 6 9.2 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 3.5 18 1.1 8.1 40.0 33.3 100.0 -0.21 59.7 55.0
D. Johnson Jr. D. Johnson Jr. - 7 5.1 1.9 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 -9 -1.0 -11.5 75.0 0 33.3 -0.63 69.7 75.0
C. Lawin C. Lawin - 4 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 -1.0 -4 -1.0 -23.5 11.1 14.3 0.0 -1.17 15.9 16.7
Ryan Schwarz Ryan Schwarz - 5 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.4 -4 -1.0 -25.9 25.0 25.0 50.0 -1.2 41.0 37.5
E. Saunders E. Saunders F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -61 -1.5 -3.2 - - - -0.1 - -
T. Majak T. Majak F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Desai Lopez Desai Lopez - 4 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.5 -4 -1.0 -25.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.2 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG