Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Falslev | 36 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -2.1 |
| I. Martinez | 31 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +3.1 |
| K. Templin | 23 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| T. Anderson | 22 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -4.6 |
| J. Barnes | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -0.1 |
| D. Albury | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -3.1 |
| D. Akanno | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.9 |
| A. Gateretse | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.5 |
| I. Johnson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.8 |
| I. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Boyd | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +2.1 |
| M. Gwath | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0.7 |
| BJ Davis | 26 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.8 |
| W. McKinney III | 23 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | +2.1 |
| M. Byrd | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +14.5 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -7.7 |
| T. DeGourville | 22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -3.1 |
| P. Compton | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3.8 |
| M. Heide | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
* = starter