Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Davis * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +12.0 |
| M. Byrd * | 37 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +10.1 |
| J. Coleman-Jones * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +2.1 |
| N. Boyd * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +7.9 |
| M. Gwath * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +11.0 |
| P. Compton | 21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7.8 |
| W. McKinney III | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.6 |
| T. DeGourville | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.6 |
| M. Heide | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roberts * | 41 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4.9 |
| L.J. Cryer * | 38 | 7-15 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 8 | +4.6 |
| M. Uzan * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -12.3 |
| E. Sharp * | 36 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 11 | -7.6 |
| J. Francis * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -10.3 |
| J. Tugler | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +0.9 |
| T. Arceneaux | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.0 |
| M. Wilson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| C. Lath | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter