Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -21 (50-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Byrd | 26 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +20.7 |
| N. Boyd | 25 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +19.9 |
| M. Gwath | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | +16.9 |
| BJ Davis | 23 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +16.3 |
| J. Coleman-Jones | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +15.0 |
| W. McKinney III | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +19.2 |
| T. DeGourville | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +14.6 |
| M. Heide | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +8.8 |
| P. Compton | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.8 |
| K. Ferrari | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.7 |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -10.7 |
| D. Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
| C. Lawin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sissoko | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -14.0 |
| A. Stojakovic | 25 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -20.7 |
| J. Wilkinson | 23 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -2.0 |
| J. Blacksher Jr. | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -20.3 |
| R. Petraitis | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6.1 |
| DJ Campbell | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -10.5 |
| C. Tucker | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Mahoney | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| L. Dort | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.6 |
| J. Ola-Joseph | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -18.0 |
| V. Pavlovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Curtis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.8 |
* = starter