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Creighton Bluejays 53
@
San Diego State Aztecs 71
2024-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 70.9% 29.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 ✗ (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - ✓
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% - ✗

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +18 (71-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Isaacs * 38 7-20 2-10 2-4 1 5 1 0 2 18 3 -21.2
J. McAndrew * 33 4-11 4-11 0-0 14 0 0 1 3 12 13 -21.2
J. Neal * 32 2-9 0-5 1-2 5 3 0 1 3 5 2 -12.8
R. Kalkbrenner * 32 5-12 0-0 1-3 5 2 0 5 1 11 10 -18.2
Ty Davis * 24 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -11.1
S. Thomas 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.7
M. Miller 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -10.6
F. King 8 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 6 +1.1
I. Traudt 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
J. Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
BJ Davis * 31 7-11 3-5 1-2 9 0 1 1 2 18 16 +24.3
M. Byrd * 29 6-10 2-4 2-2 2 2 2 2 0 16 14 +17.6
N. Boyd * 29 3-13 1-4 0-1 6 5 2 0 2 7 5 +9.9
M. Gwath * 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 7 9 +1.2
J. Coleman-Jones * 24 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 2 5 3 +4.2
W. McKinney III 19 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 2 +20.4
P. Compton 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 +19.0
T. DeGourville 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 4 5 +7.9
M. Heide 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 6 +4.7

* = starter