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Samford

Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History

2023 Team Stats (32 games)

78.7
PPG
71.6
Opp
+7.2
Margin
45.4%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
35.5
RPG
11.7
APG
12.7
TO
70.4
Est. poss./game
73.3
Adj PPG
71.2
Adj Opp PPG
#136
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1045 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1052 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 1060 (#85) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +1.8 (#140) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +1.7 (#144) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.679 (#85) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.9 More โ†’ 0.679 (#85) NetEff +6.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.1 More โ†’ 0.559 (#150) AdjNet +2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.1 More โ†’ 0.559 (#149) AdjNet +2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 71.2 More โ†’ 0.548 (#136) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 71.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.563 (#114) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.577 (#132) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.580 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 28 More โ†’ 1061 (#127) RD 149 | GP 28

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs Anderson (SC) Trojans W 109 - 85
2022-11-10 vs Spring Hill Badgers W 80 - 61
2022-11-12 vs Belhaven Blazers W 90 - 38
2022-11-17 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 84 - 64
2022-11-20 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 78 - 63
2022-11-23 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 79 - 49
2022-11-25 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 76 - 79
2022-11-27 vs UT Southern Firehawks L 82 - 84
2022-11-30 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 98 - 103
2022-12-04 @ UCF Knights L 77 - 80
2022-12-10 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 58 - 75
2022-12-17 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 61 - 62
2022-12-21 @ Belmont Bruins L 56 - 79
2022-12-28 vs Mercer Bears W 78 - 69
2022-12-31 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 75 - 63
2023-01-04 vs VMI Keydets W 87 - 78
2023-01-07 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 70 - 68
2023-01-11 vs Wofford Terriers W 83 - 58
2023-01-14 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 75 - 74
2023-01-18 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 69 - 59
2023-01-21 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 65
2023-01-25 @ Furman Paladins L 84 - 91
2023-01-28 @ Wofford Terriers L 77 - 85
2023-02-01 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 85 - 77
2023-02-04 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 73 - 62
2023-02-08 @ Mercer Bears W 70 - 69
2023-02-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 76 - 70
2023-02-15 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 83 - 71
2023-02-18 @ VMI Keydets W 96 - 61
2023-02-22 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 75 - 70
2023-02-25 vs Furman Paladins L 79 - 93
2023-03-04 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 82 - 85

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ques Glover Ques Glover G 19 24.6 14.7 2.5 2.1 0.7 0.0 2.4 10.4 7.2 146 16 9.1 15.4 48.0 37.8 84.7 4.47 59.3 52.3
Logan Dye Logan Dye F 32 24.1 13.3 5.1 1.2 0.8 0.6 2.3 9.2 9.5 111 25 4.4 7.9 50.0 39.4 68.9 1.18 60.5 57.0
Jermaine Marshall Jermaine Marshall F 31 24.9 13.3 6.5 1.1 1.3 0.5 1.8 8.6 12.3 111 25 4.4 7.5 47.2 37.5 79.5 -1.43 61.6 54.5
Bubba Parham Bubba Parham G 32 29.6 9.6 3.2 2.6 1.2 0.0 1.7 7.0 7.9 116 25 4.6 6.3 39.1 39.0 79.1 2.3 58.1 52.4
A.J. Staton-McCray A.J. Staton-McCray G 31 22.0 8.2 4.1 0.6 1.8 0.2 0.9 6.2 7.8 62 24 2.6 4.6 45.8 28.9 76.7 0.24 56.7 51.6
Jaden Campbell Jaden Campbell G 30 19.9 7.7 2.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.9 6.7 3.9 -43 24 -1.8 -3.9 40.3 33.6 83.8 -5.69 52.9 49.5
Achor Achor Achor Achor F 30 14.4 6.1 3.5 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.0 4.1 6.3 33 24 1.4 3.8 57.7 33.3 64.9 -0.53 61.8 59.3
Nathan Johnson Nathan Johnson F 32 19.6 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.9 3.8 7 25 0.3 0.6 38.9 29.9 54.2 -3.75 50.3 48.0
Jaron Rillie Jaron Rillie G 32 20.7 4.8 2.2 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.1 3.0 6.3 80 25 3.2 6.5 46.9 37.7 75.5 2.41 64.1 58.9
Cooper Kaifes Cooper Kaifes G 8 15.5 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.2 65 6 10.8 31.6 31.8 27.8 66.7 1.53 45.0 43.2
Brody Boyer Brody Boyer G 16 7.6 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.9 36 11 3.3 15.6 39.3 35.0 57.1 -1.18 53.1 51.8
Britton Johnson Britton Johnson G 13 4.1 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3 1.5 9 9 1.0 8.5 52.9 45.5 0 -2.38 67.6 67.6
Quinn Richey Quinn Richey G 17 9.1 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.2 35 12 2.9 13.4 28.0 30.4 100.0 0.11 50.8 42.0
Daniel Lobach Daniel Lobach F 11 3.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 24 8 3.0 25.5 60.0 0.0 0 -0.22 60.0 60.0
Marcellus Vail Marcellus Vail G 9 3.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.2 12 8 1.5 21.4 33.3 0.0 0 -1.08 33.3 33.3
Joshua Hughes Joshua Hughes F 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.32 0 0
Owen LaRocca Owen LaRocca G 3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.01 0.0 0.0
Clay Holmes Clay Holmes G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.32 0.0 0.0
Grayson Walters Grayson Walters F 4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.02 0 0
Charlie Morrison Charlie Morrison G 3 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.32 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG