Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubba Parham | 38 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Campbell | 37 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Logan Dye | 30 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jaron Rillie | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 13-16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Nathan Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Staton-McCray | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Achor Achor | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Quinn Richey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Lobach | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Kelly | 39 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 36 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 30 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Darius Johnson | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ithiel Horton | 24 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter