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2023-02-11

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.7% 90.3% - ✓
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +16.0 ✓ (10.0 off)
Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - ✓

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Ash * 36 7-11 5-8 2-2 5 0 3 0 3 21 15 -
Elijah Morgan * 36 2-6 1-3 2-2 5 4 2 0 3 7 9 -
Stephen Clark * 35 6-12 0-2 1-1 4 2 3 1 4 13 7 -
Madison Durr * 15 3-5 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 4 6 0 -
Brady Spence * 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
David Maynard 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
Colby McAllister 20 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
AJ Smith 16 2-5 0-1 4-4 1 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
Tony Carpio 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bubba Parham * 30 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Ques Glover * 30 6-9 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 16 6 -
Logan Dye * 23 3-6 0-3 10-13 1 2 3 1 4 16 13 -
A.J. Staton-McCray * 22 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
Nathan Johnson * 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Jermaine Marshall 27 7-10 2-3 7-10 7 2 3 0 2 23 23 -
Jaden Campbell 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 3 1 1 4 3 -
Achor Achor 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Jaron Rillie 14 0-3 0-2 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter