Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | -7.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -10 (59-69). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubba Parham * | 35 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Logan Dye * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 30 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jaron Rillie * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nathan Johnson * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Campbell | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Staton-McCray | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Achor Achor | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brody Boyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan King * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Haynes * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Justice Smith * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Allen Strothers * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jaden Seymour * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jamarius Hairston | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Braden Ilic | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brock Jancek | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cam George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter