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2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 83.9% 16.1% - ✓
Margin 86.8% 13.2% -10.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Efficiency 92.9% 7.1% - ✓

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -12 (63-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaron Rillie 32 1-3 0-1 9-9 5 3 0 0 3 11 13 -
Logan Dye 31 7-9 1-3 5-6 8 1 0 0 3 20 17 -
Jermaine Marshall 31 4-11 0-3 5-5 10 2 1 2 3 13 14 -
Nathan Johnson 30 5-10 1-4 2-5 4 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
Bubba Parham 29 1-4 1-3 3-4 5 3 0 0 1 6 9 -
Quinn Richey 16 0-1 0-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A.J. Staton-McCray 13 2-6 0-2 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 6 8 -
Achor Achor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
Brody Boyer 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Britton Johnson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Ash 40 7-14 5-9 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 19 12 -
Stephen Clark 39 5-15 1-3 5-5 8 3 0 0 1 16 11 -
Elijah Morgan 37 1-7 1-5 4-4 2 3 2 0 1 7 6 -
Jackson Price 23 4-8 2-3 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 12 6 -
Madison Durr 22 1-7 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
AJ Smith 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 4 2 -
David Maynard 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Colby McAllister 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brady Spence 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dylan Engler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter