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2023-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% -6.3 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“

Actual: Mercer Bears -1 (69-70). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ques Glover * 39 8-16 1-3 5-5 2 0 0 0 2 22 6 -
A.J. Staton-McCray * 37 3-7 0-1 3-3 8 0 2 0 1 9 11 -
Bubba Parham * 37 1-8 1-5 4-4 4 2 4 0 3 7 6 -
Logan Dye * 30 3-8 2-5 2-4 5 0 1 0 4 10 4 -
Nathan Johnson * 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jermaine Marshall 22 5-5 2-2 5-5 4 0 2 0 4 17 14 -
Achor Achor 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Jaden Campbell 12 0-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jaron Rillie 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braden Sparks * 36 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 3 3 8 -
James Glisson III * 31 6-10 1-4 2-4 8 0 2 1 0 15 16 -
Jalyn McCreary * 28 6-13 0-0 2-4 5 3 1 0 3 14 7 -
Shawn Walker Jr. * 26 2-6 1-2 1-2 4 1 3 0 3 6 5 -
Harrison Drake * 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kamar Robertson 34 6-11 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 14 3 -
Luis Hurtado Jr. 18 2-4 0-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
Shannon Grant 15 5-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 11 10 -
Michael Zanoni 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Jah Quinones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 1 0 0 8 -
David Craig 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter