🐻⬇️🏀

Saint Francis Red Flash

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History

2022 Team Stats (29 games)

54.6
PPG
66.1
Opp
-11.4
Margin
38.6%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
36.2
RPG
11.5
APG
18.0
TO
65.5
Est. poss./game
53.2
Adj PPG
69.4
Adj Opp PPG
#330
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 774 (#295) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 806 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 926 (#261) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -18.0 (#333) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → -15.4 (#321) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.101 (#318) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -28.6 More → 0.035 (#336) AdjNet -28.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.0 More → 0.032 (#337) AdjNet -29.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.187 (#330) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.336 (#295) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.152 (#323) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.173 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 29 More → 793 (#299) RD 140 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Temple Owls L 53 - 73
2021-11-14 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 45 - 71
2021-11-16 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 33 - 86
2021-11-20 vs Longwood Lancers L 54 - 63
2021-11-28 @ Coppin State Eagles L 38 - 68
2021-12-01 @ Bucknell Bison L 31 - 68
2021-12-04 vs La Salle Explorers L 59 - 64
2021-12-08 @ Toledo Rockets L 33 - 86
2021-12-11 @ Duquesne Dukes L 61 - 70
2021-12-19 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 45 - 82
2021-12-29 @ Wagner Seahawks L 56 - 65
2021-12-31 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 47 - 65
2022-01-06 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 60 - 70
2022-01-08 vs Long Island University Sharks W 66 - 50
2022-01-15 vs Merrimack Warriors W 70 - 62
2022-01-17 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 70 - 62
2022-01-21 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 69 - 59
2022-01-23 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 69 - 66
2022-01-27 vs Wagner Seahawks L 39 - 63
2022-01-29 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 70 - 58
2022-02-03 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 36 - 58
2022-02-05 @ Merrimack Warriors L 64 - 69
2022-02-11 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 70 - 56
2022-02-17 @ Long Island University Sharks L 62 - 69
2022-02-19 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 54 - 57
2022-02-24 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 55 - 58
2022-02-26 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 74 - 68
2022-03-03 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 48 - 61
2022-03-07 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 53 - 69

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Mastellone J. Mastellone G 28 24.4 10.5 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.3 2.3 8.4 5.0 -161 28 -5.8 -9.5 44.0 40.8 81.2 -3.14 54.3 48.3
J. Dapaa J. Dapaa F 29 33.4 9.4 12.7 2.6 1.1 0.5 2.5 8.4 15.4 -136 29 -4.7 -5.9 44.1 20.0 72.2 4.37 49.0 44.3
K. Maxwell K. Maxwell G 29 29.6 8.7 2.1 2.0 0.7 0.0 2.0 7.6 4.0 -171 29 -5.9 -8.5 44.5 41.0 74.2 -1.69 54.1 52.3
L. Benzel L. Benzel G 29 28.2 7.8 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.9 9.6 0.1 -201 29 -6.9 -10.5 27.0 25.6 92.6 -4.83 39.2 36.3
S. Miller S. Miller F 27 24.4 7.0 3.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.4 6.9 3.3 -202 27 -7.5 -13.2 44.6 0.0 66.7 -4.78 46.9 44.6
J. McLemore J. McLemore G 29 25.9 6.7 2.1 2.0 0.5 0.1 2.9 6.2 2.3 -174 29 -6.0 -9.7 37.8 31.4 63.6 -3.93 46.4 42.2
Aaliyah Moore Aaliyah Moore F 29 18.6 2.9 5.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.6 2.9 4.5 -106 29 -3.7 -8.3 39.3 0.0 43.6 -1.35 41.0 39.3
Layla Laws Layla Laws F 15 7.4 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.1 -61 15 -4.1 -22.6 33.3 0.0 33.3 -3.08 33.7 33.3
Adison Novosel Adison Novosel G 7 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 -6 7 -0.9 -19.8 75.0 66.7 0 -1.7 100.0 100.0
D. Allen D. Allen G 18 15.4 0.9 1.9 2.3 0.7 0.2 2.1 2.7 1.3 -105 18 -5.8 -16.3 14.3 0.0 37.5 -3.93 16.2 14.3
Maria McConnell Maria McConnell G 22 5.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 -53 22 -2.4 -17.0 31.8 30.8 50.0 -4.13 41.5 40.9
K. Kovac K. Kovac F 12 3.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.1 -25 12 -2.1 -28.4 20.0 0.0 0 -2.92 20.0 20.0
Nyla Rozier Nyla Rozier G 7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.3 -10 7 -1.4 -28.5 20.0 0.0 0.0 -2.54 17.0 20.0
H. Murphy H. Murphy G 9 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 1 9 0.1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.92 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

157 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Miller24%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Benzel25%
Misses: who misses most here

S. MillerL. Benzel

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 54-157 34.4 108 S. Miller 24% (26 pts) J. Dapaa 13% (14 pts) L. Benzel 25% (26 misses) K. Maxwell 16% (16 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 right 0-0 - 0 - - - -