Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 35 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Kimball | 33 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Mager | 32 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Teneisia Brown | 22 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| P. McCormick | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Amaya Staton | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Christian | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Balague | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Owens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dapaa | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| J. Mastellone | 36 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| L. Benzel | 33 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| K. Maxwell | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Miller | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. McLemore | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Maria McConnell | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter