Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | +3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +5 (69-64). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Dapaa * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Kaitlyn Maxwell * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jordan McLemore * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Lili Benzel * | 26 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jenna Mastellone | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Maria McConnell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Layla Laws | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Mager * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jayme DeCesare * | 36 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Mayson Kimball * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Paige McCormick * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Teneisia Brown * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Carla Balague | 24 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Kaylee Thomas | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ava Owens | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Diamond Christian | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Antoinette Okoh | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter