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Central Connecticut Blue Devils 58
@
Saint Francis Red Wolves 55
2022-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - ✗
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 ✗ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - ✗

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -3 (55-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejah Jenkins 29 2-9 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 5 3 -
E. Nibbelink 28 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 1 3 3 2 9 11 -
A. Berube 26 6-13 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 13 5 -
Belle Lanpher 26 6-11 3-6 6-9 2 1 2 0 0 21 15 -
F. Toppin 19 3-12 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 6 0 -
Amaya Williams 17 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Sutherland-Case 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 3 2 -
C. Reynolds 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Davy 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Meghan Kenefick 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Maxwell 35 2-9 1-6 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
L. Benzel 35 3-16 1-12 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 7 -5 -
J. Dapaa 32 4-7 0-0 2-2 14 1 1 1 1 10 19 -
S. Miller 30 7-11 0-0 3-6 5 2 0 0 1 17 12 -
J. McLemore 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Mastellone 23 4-11 0-1 3-4 6 3 1 0 5 11 5 -
Aaliyah Moore 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 2 2 10 -
D. Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter