🐻⬇️🏀

Saint Francis Red Flash

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

56.8
PPG
70.3
Opp
-13.5
Margin
35.4%
FG%
25.9%
3P%
71.1%
FT%
35.6
RPG
12.2
APG
17.5
TO
70.8
Est. poss./game
51.8
Adj PPG
76.2
Adj Opp PPG
#355
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 665 (#347) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 594 (#355) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 850 (#338) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -26.6 (#355) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -23.5 (#355) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.075 (#337) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.2 More → 0.075 (#337) NetEff -19.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -39.9 More → 0.009 (#357) AdjNet -39.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -40.9 More → 0.009 (#357) AdjNet -40.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.8 | AdjD 76.2 More → 0.098 (#355) AdjO 51.8 | AdjD 76.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.228 (#345) AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.064 (#356) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.078 (#356) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 29 More → 591 (#354) RD 146 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Duquesne Dukes L 60 - 89
2025-11-08 @ La Salle Explorers L 73 - 84
2025-11-13 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 61 - 71
2025-11-16 vs Lafayette Leopards L 55 - 69
2025-11-18 vs Carnegie Mellon Tartans L 53 - 55
2025-11-22 vs Army Black Knights L 50 - 82
2025-11-28 @ Iona Gaels L 31 - 50
2025-11-29 @ Maine Black Bears L 46 - 69
2025-12-06 vs Delaware State Hornets - Preview
2025-12-14 @ Xavier Musketeers L 51 - 63
2025-12-18 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 46 - 98
2025-12-21 @ Fordham Rams L 61 - 86
2026-01-02 @ Le Moyne Dolphins L 69 - 73
2026-01-04 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 28 - 73
2026-01-08 vs Wagner Seahawks W 75 - 67
2026-01-10 vs Long Island University Sharks L 61 - 77
2026-01-15 @ Stonehill Skyhawks L 57 - 59
2026-01-17 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 74 - 63
2026-01-22 @ Chicago State Cougars L 64 - 73
2026-01-24 vs New Haven Chargers L 60 - 61
2026-01-29 vs Chicago State Cougars L 61 - 70
2026-01-31 @ New Haven Chargers L 56 - 57
2026-02-05 vs Mercyhurst Lakers L 59 - 79
2026-02-07 vs Le Moyne Dolphins L 50 - 62
2026-02-14 @ Mercyhurst Lakers L 61 - 85
2026-02-19 @ Long Island University Sharks L 59 - 74
2026-02-21 @ Wagner Seahawks L 51 - 58
2026-02-26 vs Stonehill Skyhawks L 55 - 58
2026-02-28 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 82 - 63
2026-03-05 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 39 - 61
2026-03-09 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 56 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Ricks S. Ricks F 28 26.5 11.5 6.5 1.0 0.5 0.8 1.8 9.9 8.7 - - - - 41.9 33.3 79.3 - 51.4 46.4
A. James A. James G 28 28.8 10.8 3.5 2.8 0.9 0.0 2.9 11.1 3.9 - - - - 37.8 32.9 66.7 - 44.4 41.7
S. Sato S. Sato C 28 27.5 8.9 4.0 1.4 0.8 0.7 2.4 9.5 3.9 - - - - 37.1 24.1 60.4 - 43.1 40.8
G. Walker G. Walker G 25 23.2 7.6 2.7 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.5 6.1 4.6 - - - - 32.0 24.6 76.5 - 48.4 37.6
Cassandra Hawthorne Cassandra Hawthorne F 29 18.4 5.2 3.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.2 - - - - 33.8 29.5 77.8 - 44.0 39.5
B. Assefa B. Assefa G 28 27.0 5.2 4.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 2.1 4.8 5.6 - - - - 36.3 26.5 79.5 - 48.3 43.0
M. Ward M. Ward G 29 25.5 4.8 3.5 2.6 1.6 0.1 2.5 5.4 4.6 - - - - 38.2 25.8 40.0 - 41.1 40.8
Z. Minnis Z. Minnis G 25 10.1 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 4.1 0.8 - - - - 32.4 25.8 88.9 - 42.9 40.7
G. Eke G. Eke F 25 13.0 2.2 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.5 1.8 2.9 1.9 - - - - 28.8 0.0 76.5 - 34.2 28.8
S. Thornhill S. Thornhill G 29 15.7 1.8 1.2 0.5 1.0 0.1 0.5 3.4 0.7 - - - - 18.2 11.3 52.9 - 24.4 21.7
D. Short D. Short G 5 7.8 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.6 2.6 -0.2 - - - - 15.4 12.5 0.0 - 18.6 19.2
Kash Holmes Kash Holmes G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1738 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ricks24% Sato22% Ricks35% Ward43% James41% James31% Ricks29% James22% Ricks34% Walker23%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ricks16% James20% James29% James27% James29% Assefa24% Thornhill23% Sato14% Sato20% James14%
Misses: who misses most here

A. JamesS. RicksS. SatoM. WardB. AssefaG. WalkerS. Thornhill

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 146-272 53.7 292 S. Ricks 24% (70 pts) A. James 17% (50 pts) S. Ricks 16% (20 misses) A. James 14% (18 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 239-601 39.8 478 S. Sato 22% (104 pts) A. James 19% (92 pts) A. James 20% (71 misses) S. Sato 17% (63 misses)
Mid-range left 26-108 24.1 52 S. Ricks 35% (18 pts) A. James 15% (8 pts) A. James 29% (24 misses) S. Ricks 23% (19 misses)
Mid-range center 7-37 18.9 14 M. Ward 43% (6 pts) A. James 14% (2 pts) A. James 27% (8 misses) Cassandra Hawthorne 23% (7 misses)
Mid-range right 44-121 36.4 88 A. James 41% (36 pts) S. Ricks 18% (16 pts) A. James 29% (22 misses) S. Sato 14% (11 misses)
Left corner 3 13-46 28.3 39 A. James 31% (12 pts) B. Assefa 23% (9 pts) B. Assefa 24% (8 misses) A. James 12% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 7-38 18.4 21 S. Ricks 29% (6 pts) S. Sato 29% (6 pts) S. Thornhill 23% (7 misses) B. Assefa 16% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 67-229 29.3 201 A. James 22% (45 pts) B. Assefa 15% (30 pts) S. Sato 14% (23 misses) G. Walker 13% (21 misses)
Above-break 3 center 29-104 27.9 87 S. Ricks 34% (30 pts) Cassandra Hawthorne 24% (21 pts) S. Sato 20% (15 misses) S. Ricks 19% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right 39-182 21.4 117 G. Walker 23% (27 pts) A. James 13% (15 pts) A. James 14% (20 misses) S. Thornhill 14% (20 misses)