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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves New Haven Chargers Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“

Actual: New Haven Chargers +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aleah James 37 3-11 1-5 4-4 7 6 2 0 4 11 11 -
Shelby Ricks 30 5-9 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 10 4 -
Gemma Walker 28 3-8 3-5 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 13 8 -
Bati Assefa 27 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 6 -
Sonia Sato 26 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 2 -3 -
Sajol Thornhill 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Cassandra Hawthorne 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 4 6 -
Giselle Eke 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Zaiha Minnis 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 4 -

New Haven Chargers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aniya McDonald-Perry 40 5-11 0-0 2-2 11 2 3 0 3 12 14 -
Addisen Sulikowski 38 2-8 1-3 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 7 8 -
Teaira Kelley 34 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 8 5 -
Lindsay Hogan 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Jasmine Mckay 22 3-8 2-6 2-6 1 3 1 0 4 10 3 -
Schuyler Coles 21 4-7 0-2 3-5 5 3 3 0 3 11 12 -
Renelle Grannum 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Katelyn Simpson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Merit Innocent 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter