Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keona McGee | 34 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -7.6 |
| Marisa Gant | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +9.5 |
| Brianna Hill | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -5.9 |
| Tania Allen | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +10.3 |
| Paris Bass | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Kyara Champagne | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +12.9 |
| Chloe Sisco | 16 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Kace Urlacher | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Kayla Mount | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Natalia Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5.2 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleah James | 33 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | -14.1 |
| Bati Assefa | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -11.0 |
| Gemma Walker | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 10 | -7.8 |
| Sonia Sato | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -2.7 |
| Sajol Thornhill | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Shelby Ricks | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -7.4 |
| Cassandra Hawthorne | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -13.3 |
| Makyiah Ward | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +5.5 |
| Zaiha Minnis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.4 |
| Giselle Eke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
* = starter