SMU
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 973 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 927 (#225) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 919 (#278) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.3 (#184) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.2 (#200) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.406 (#215) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.439 (#183) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.438 (#183) | AdjNet -2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.469 (#187) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.434 (#240) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.424 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.417 (#214) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 939 (#207) | RD 136 | GP 28 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Nyakundi
|
F | 29 | 33.1 | 15.2 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 17.7 | -4 | 25 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 42.0 | 34.9 | 80.0 | 2.02 | 258.2 | 51.2 |
London Giles
|
G | 29 | 29.5 | 10.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 11.8 | -23 | 25 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 43.5 | 40.7 | 77.8 | -0.58 | 301.2 | 55.4 |
Jalen Jones
|
G | 30 | 21.8 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 10.4 | -42 | 26 | -1.6 | -3.3 | 51.4 | 16.7 | 63.2 | 1.33 | 280.2 | 52.9 |
Jeremiah Samarrippas
|
G | 30 | 31.7 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 10.0 | -27 | 25 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 45.3 | 42.9 | 75.0 | -0.32 | 185.4 | 56.6 |
Shawn Williams
|
F | 22 | 22.7 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 9.3 | -118 | 21 | -5.6 | -10.0 | 35.7 | 31.8 | 18.2 | -4.74 | 132.4 | 44.0 |
Rodney Clinkscales
|
G | 25 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 5.5 | -90 | 22 | -4.1 | -10.8 | 40.0 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -5.93 | 433.7 | 55.0 |
Leslee Smith
|
F | 23 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7.9 | 53 | 21 | 2.5 | 6.8 | 42.9 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 2.54 | 180.7 | 45.2 |
Cannen Cunningham
|
C | 28 | 12.9 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6.2 | -25 | 24 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 42.1 | 16.7 | 70.0 | -1.28 | 215.8 | 44.7 |
Ryan Manuel
|
G | 30 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 4.8 | -22 | 25 | -0.9 | -3.2 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 61.1 | -1.23 | 230.4 | 57.1 |
Aliaksei Patsevich
|
- | 30 | 17.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 19.0 | 6.7 | 0 | - | 204.8 | 21.4 |
Ricmonds Vilde
|
C | 15 | 10.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.7 | -5 | 10 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.39 | 675.0 | 0.0 |
Eric Norman
|
F | 9 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -2 | 5 | -0.4 | -5.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
Kevin Dunleavy
|
G | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.19 | 0 | 0 |
Jordan Walker
|
G | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG