Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -2 (52-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 38 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Steven Shepp * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Wills * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Foster * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Brown * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. McGaughey | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| H. Sun | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nyakundi * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| London Giles * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aliaksei Patsevich | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ricmonds Vilde | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Norman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter