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2011-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.8 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% - โœ“

Actual: SMU Mustangs +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Savalance Townsend * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 2 22 31 -
Mitchell Anderson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 3 12 23 -
Lavoris Weathers * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 4 13 -
Daniel Broughton * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 9 -
Clay Johnson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
Jamar Harris 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Kyle Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Austin Allen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Derrius Nelson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
Demetrious Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
London Giles * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 4 12 16 -
Robert Nyakundi * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 27 32 -
Jeremiah Samarrippas * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 10 14 -
Jalen Jones * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 5 7 -
Ricmonds Vilde * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
Aliaksei Patsevich 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Rodney Clinkscales 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Cannen Cunningham 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 3 11 -
Ryan Manuel 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Eric Norman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter