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Seattle Storm

Also known as: Seattle Storm
Program History

2016 Team Stats (35 games)

80.9
PPG
80.6
Opp
+0.3
Margin
45.5%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
83.6%
FT%
31.4
RPG
18.9
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
79.7
Adj PPG
79.1
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1043 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 977 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +51 elo More โ†’ 1034 (#3) HCA +51 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +0.6 (#4) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +3.1 (#3) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.512 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.8 More โ†’ 0.522 (#5) AdjNet +0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More โ†’ 0.522 (#5) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 79.1 More โ†’ 0.512 (#4) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 79.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 77.1 More โ†’ 0.559 (#3) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 77.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.544 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.554 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1061 (#4) RD 154 | GP 35

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-05-15 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 66 - 96
2016-05-20 @ Phoenix Mercury W 81 - 80
2016-05-22 vs Minnesota Lynx L 71 - 78
2016-05-26 vs Washington Mystics L 82 - 84
2016-05-28 vs Connecticut Sun W 93 - 81
2016-06-01 @ Indiana Fever L 75 - 85
2016-06-03 vs Phoenix Mercury W 95 - 81
2016-06-05 vs New York Liberty L 78 - 86
2016-06-10 @ Connecticut Sun L 76 - 77
2016-06-12 @ Indiana Fever W 90 - 88
2016-06-14 @ San Antonio Stars L 70 - 77
2016-06-16 @ Dallas Wings L 79 - 88
2016-06-19 vs Minnesota Lynx L 84 - 96
2016-06-24 vs Connecticut Sun W 98 - 81
2016-06-28 vs Atlanta Dream W 84 - 81
2016-06-30 vs Dallas Wings L 78 - 83
2016-07-05 @ Atlanta Dream L 64 - 77
2016-07-06 @ New York Liberty L 74 - 78
2016-07-08 @ San Antonio Stars W 78 - 68
2016-07-10 vs Indiana Fever L 82 - 93
2016-07-15 vs Washington Mystics W 80 - 51
2016-07-17 vs Chicago Sky L 88 - 91
2016-07-20 vs San Antonio Stars W 83 - 69
2016-07-22 @ Minnesota Lynx L 72 - 79
2016-08-26 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 79 - 72
2016-08-28 @ Minnesota Lynx L 80 - 92
2016-08-31 vs Dallas Wings W 78 - 66
2016-09-02 @ Chicago Sky L 88 - 92
2016-09-04 @ Atlanta Dream W 91 - 82
2016-09-07 @ New York Liberty W 102 - 78
2016-09-09 @ Washington Mystics W 81 - 76
2016-09-11 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 78 - 60
2016-09-15 @ Phoenix Mercury L 62 - 86
2016-09-18 vs Chicago Sky W 88 - 75
2016-09-21 @ Atlanta Dream L 85 - 94

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Breanna Stewart Breanna Stewart F 36 34.6 18.1 9.2 3.2 1.3 1.8 2.3 13.3 18.1 - - - - 45.6 34.1 83.6 - 57.5 50.5
Jewell Loyd Jewell Loyd G 37 31.5 16.5 3.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 2.1 13.2 9.6 - - - - 43.2 31.3 87.1 - 54.5 48.0
E. Brand E. Brand - 37 31.0 12.5 2.9 5.6 1.1 0.2 2.4 10.3 9.6 - - - - 44.5 43.4 78.0 - 56.6 54.5
C. Langhorne C. Langhorne F 34 25.3 9.4 5.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 1.6 6.1 9.8 - - - - 62.1 100.0 76.8 - 66.1 62.4
Alysha Clark Alysha Clark F 36 27.2 9.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.3 6.7 7.5 - - - - 49.2 38.0 83.1 - 61.4 57.1
L. Eaton Rydalch L. Eaton Rydalch G 2 18.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 - - - - 30.0 0.0 60.0 - 41.7 30.0
R. Tokashiki R. Tokashiki F 34 13.4 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.4 3.5 - - - - 45.0 0.0 82.0 - 52.3 45.0
K. Mosqueda-Lewis K. Mosqueda-Lewis F 33 12.5 5.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.8 4.8 1.5 - - - - 38.9 35.0 81.0 - 52.6 50.3
J. O'Hea J. O'Hea G 22 11.5 3.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.0 2.0 - - - - 34.8 31.6 90.0 - 47.6 43.9
M. Gatling M. Gatling F 13 7.6 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.4 - - - - 48.3 0 69.2 - 53.3 48.3
A. Goodrich A. Goodrich F 2 13.5 2.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.5 - - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 42.5 40.0
Blake Dietrick Blake Dietrick G 4 9.0 2.2 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 1.2 - - - - 33.3 50.0 75.0 - 58.0 50.0
N. Quinn N. Quinn G 21 13.8 1.8 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.2 - - - - 29.1 8.3 100.0 - 33.2 30.0
K. Thomas K. Thomas C 21 9.9 1.6 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 1.1 3.6 - - - - 56.5 0 66.7 - 60.1 56.5
A. Bishop A. Bishop F 15 6.9 1.5 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 1.3 - - - - 34.8 27.3 75.0 - 44.4 41.3
Logan Kosmalski Logan Kosmalski - 17 6.6 1.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 1.8 0.6 - - - - 30.0 18.2 60.0 - 35.7 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2016 Shot Zones

2281 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Stewart21% Stewart34% Brand37% Loyd25% Brand27% Brand37% Clark33% Brand30% Brand33% Brand28%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Loyd24% Stewart28% Loyd25% Stewart26% Brand25% Loyd26% Clark29% Brand22% Stewart34% Loyd24%
Misses: who misses most here

Breanna StewartJewell LoydE. BrandAlysha Clark

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 421-658 64.0 842 Breanna Stewart 21% (180 pts) Jewell Loyd 20% (170 pts) Jewell Loyd 24% (57 misses) Breanna Stewart 23% (55 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 151-356 42.4 302 Breanna Stewart 34% (104 pts) C. Langhorne 16% (48 pts) Breanna Stewart 28% (58 misses) Jewell Loyd 20% (40 misses)
Mid-range left 95-245 38.8 190 E. Brand 37% (70 pts) Jewell Loyd 26% (50 pts) Jewell Loyd 25% (37 misses) E. Brand 21% (32 misses)
Mid-range center 40-110 36.4 80 Jewell Loyd 25% (20 pts) E. Brand 20% (16 pts) Breanna Stewart 26% (18 misses) E. Brand 20% (14 misses)
Mid-range right 71-198 35.9 142 E. Brand 27% (38 pts) Jewell Loyd 27% (38 pts) E. Brand 25% (32 misses) Jewell Loyd 21% (27 misses)
Left corner 3 19-62 30.6 57 E. Brand 37% (21 pts) Jewell Loyd 21% (12 pts) Jewell Loyd 26% (11 misses) Alysha Clark 23% (10 misses)
Right corner 3 18-42 42.9 54 Alysha Clark 33% (18 pts) K. Mosqueda-Lewis 33% (18 pts) Alysha Clark 29% (7 misses) E. Brand 21% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 96-259 37.1 288 E. Brand 30% (87 pts) Jewell Loyd 17% (48 pts) E. Brand 22% (36 misses) Jewell Loyd 18% (30 misses)
Above-break 3 center 43-128 33.6 129 E. Brand 33% (42 pts) Breanna Stewart 30% (39 pts) Breanna Stewart 34% (29 misses) E. Brand 32% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 right 80-223 35.9 240 E. Brand 28% (66 pts) Breanna Stewart 19% (45 pts) Jewell Loyd 24% (34 misses) K. Mosqueda-Lewis 16% (23 misses)