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2016-07-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 โœ— (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.9% 73.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 14.1% 85.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -11 (82-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erlana Larkins * 33 4-5 0-0 3-4 7 3 0 0 2 11 14 -
Briann January * 27 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 7 1 0 2 5 11 -
Tamika Catchings * 24 5-10 3-4 2-2 3 1 4 1 0 15 14 -
Lynetta Kizer * 23 5-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
Erica Wheeler * 22 4-9 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 9 6 -
Shenise Johnson 27 6-10 5-8 1-1 4 4 1 0 2 18 15 -
Devereaux Peters 20 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
Tiffany Mitchell 20 4-8 1-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 11 4 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 37 11-15 4-5 6-9 11 5 0 1 4 32 30 -
Sue Bird * 30 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 7 1 0 2 5 8 -
Crystal Langhorne * 30 1-2 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 6 9 -
Alysha Clark * 27 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 3 -
Jewell Loyd * 27 4-12 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 10 2 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 19 3-8 1-4 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 8 0 -
Noelle Quinn 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
Ramu Tokashiki 12 3-6 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -

* = starter