๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-06-28

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bria Holmes * 35 6-12 2-6 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 15 8 -
Elizabeth Williams * 35 9-15 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 1 21 13 -
Angel McCoughtry * 34 9-15 0-1 4-7 7 3 4 0 5 22 16 -
Matee Ajavon * 29 5-9 0-2 0-0 5 3 2 0 4 10 7 -
Layshia Clarendon * 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Rachel Hollivay 23 0-2 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 1 0 1 9 -
Reshanda Gray 13 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Carla Cortijo 10 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Meighan Simmons 8 1-7 1-4 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 34 12-16 3-4 11-13 6 3 3 0 4 38 30 -
Sue Bird * 32 6-13 2-6 1-1 3 5 1 0 0 15 11 -
Crystal Langhorne * 30 8-9 0-0 2-2 5 1 3 2 1 18 19 -
Jewell Loyd * 29 2-10 1-5 2-2 4 5 0 1 3 7 4 -
Alysha Clark * 25 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 -
Noelle Quinn 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
Jenna O'Hea 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
Krystal Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Ramu Tokashiki 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter