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2016-07-20

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moriah Jefferson * 36 11-21 1-4 2-4 5 3 1 0 2 25 11 -
Alex Montgomery * 24 5-7 3-4 0-0 5 6 1 1 3 13 16 -
Monique Currie * 23 4-9 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
Dearica Hamby * 23 3-11 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli * 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 3 3 2 -
Kayla Alexander 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
Haley Peters 17 0-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Sydney Colson 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -
Jazmon Gwathmey 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 1 4 -
Astou Ndour-Fall 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jewell Loyd * 31 11-17 2-6 1-2 3 3 1 1 2 25 14 -
Breanna Stewart * 30 5-17 3-8 9-11 6 2 0 5 2 22 16 -
Sue Bird * 30 3-6 2-3 0-0 6 8 1 0 2 8 15 -
Crystal Langhorne * 27 2-3 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 0 1 5 13 -
Alysha Clark * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 1 2 4 7 -
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis 19 3-5 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
Krystal Thomas 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
Noelle Quinn 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
Abby Bishop 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Jenna O'Hea 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Monica Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter