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Rider

Also known as: Rider Broncs
Program History

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

72.6
PPG
83.2
Opp
-10.6
Margin
47.9%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
31.6
RPG
15.4
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.9
Adj PPG
72.3
Adj Opp PPG
#220
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1006 (#164) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 956 (#200) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1021 (#140) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -3.7 (#222) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.3 (#174) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.383 (#228) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.8 More โ†’ 0.338 (#224) AdjNet -5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More โ†’ 0.337 (#224) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.424 (#220) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.507 (#159) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.460 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.477 (#182) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 30 More โ†’ 979 (#181) RD 150 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 57 - 83
2011-11-13 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 78 - 86
2011-11-15 vs Drexel Dragons L 62 - 80
2011-11-17 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 72 - 78
2011-11-21 vs Howard Bison W 74 - 72
2011-11-25 vs James Madison Dukes L 69 - 86
2011-11-26 @ La Salle Explorers L 67 - 78
2011-12-02 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 55 - 71
2011-12-04 @ Marist Red Foxes L 75 - 95
2011-12-09 @ Florida Gators L 69 - 90
2011-12-14 vs Princeton Tigers L 71 - 72
2011-12-17 @ UMBC Retrievers W 73 - 66
2011-12-22 @ Monmouth Hawks W 74 - 62
2011-12-30 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 62 - 79
2012-01-02 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 88 - 77
2012-01-06 vs Marist Red Foxes W 99 - 86
2012-01-08 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 72 - 58
2012-01-12 @ Siena Saints L 79 - 83
2012-01-16 @ Fairfield Stags L 52 - 61
2012-01-20 @ Iona Gaels L 71 - 91
2012-01-22 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 89 - 65
2012-01-26 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 90 - 55
2012-01-29 vs Siena Saints W 83 - 72
2012-02-03 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 46 - 63
2012-02-05 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 74 - 73
2012-02-09 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 71 - 66
2012-02-11 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 82 - 84
2012-02-15 vs Iona Gaels L 62 - 75
2012-02-18 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 61 - 70
2012-02-24 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 83 - 79
2012-02-26 vs Fairfield Stags W 65 - 62
2012-03-03 @ Fairfield Stags L 63 - 65

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeff Jones Jeff Jones G 28 27.9 13.6 2.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.9 3.4 13.9 -39 23 -1.7 -2.6 44.8 36.0 75.7 -1.5 169.2 54.2
Brandon Penn Brandon Penn F 29 28.7 11.9 6.3 1.4 1.1 0.6 1.7 4.2 15.5 -31 24 -1.3 -1.9 44.3 45.3 77.8 -0.76 133.2 56.1
Danny Stewart Danny Stewart F 30 30.5 11.3 6.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 2.0 2.7 15.2 -70 25 -2.8 -4.1 58.5 0 64.4 -2.45 156.5 58.5
Novar Gadson Novar Gadson G-F 28 24.0 10.3 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 2.5 3.1 11.2 -17 23 -0.7 -1.3 44.2 40.7 67.9 -1.48 147.0 50.6
Anthony Myles Anthony Myles G 27 25.6 9.7 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.8 1.9 2.8 11.5 -7 23 -0.3 -0.5 44.7 34.1 83.3 1.22 156.1 53.9
Jonathan Thompson Jonathan Thompson G 29 32.0 8.2 3.6 4.7 0.9 0.3 2.3 2.0 13.5 7 23 0.3 0.4 49.2 47.4 65.0 3.41 176.3 56.8
Eddie Mitchell Eddie Mitchell G 29 20.4 4.2 1.9 3.0 1.0 0.1 2.7 1.6 5.8 -26 23 -1.1 -2.4 34.8 17.6 100.0 -0.97 126.7 38.0
Junior Fortunat Junior Fortunat F 20 14.1 3.8 2.9 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 6.0 -24 16 -1.5 -4.2 45.0 0 37.5 -1.81 159.4 45.0
Dera Nd-Ezuma Dera Nd-Ezuma C 23 8.5 2.2 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 3.9 13 18 0.7 4.5 55.6 0 0.0 0.4 242.2 55.6
Tommy Pereira Tommy Pereira G 15 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.3 -21 13 -1.6 -11.7 66.7 60.0 0 -3.95 266.7 91.7
Charles Oliver Charles Oliver G 12 5.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.2 -7 10 -0.7 -4.4 33.3 50.0 50.0 -1.06 167.5 50.0
Emerson Bursis Emerson Bursis F 5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -3 5 -0.6 -14.0 0 0 0 -1.42 0 0
Kevin Noon Kevin Noon G 6 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 5 6 0.8 14.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.37 150.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG