Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | โ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | โ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | โ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Barrow * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 30 | - |
| Rakim Sanders * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Desmond Wade * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Colin Nickerson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Olander * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sean Crawford | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Keith Matthews | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jamel Fields | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Thompson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Penn * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Jones * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Novar Gadson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Kevin Noon * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Danny Stewart | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Mitchell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Junior Fortunat | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tommy Pereira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter