Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | -0.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +4 (83-79). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Stewart * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Penn * | 35 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jonathon Thompson * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Novar Gadson * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Mitchell * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Jones | 27 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Myles | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Junior Fortunat | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Hymes * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| O.D. Anosike * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Owen Wignot * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Downey * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Walters * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Rob Poole | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Hopper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter