Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | -15.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.4% | 11.6% | -11.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -7 (66-73). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Stewart | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Mitchell | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Jonathon Thompson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Penn | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Jeff Jones | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Anthony Myles | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Novar Gadson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Junior Fortunat | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Dera Nd-Ezuma | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Plummer | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Brian Neller | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Jake Wasco | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Quentin Jones | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Chandler Thomas | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Cook | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Will Wise | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Basalyga | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter