Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Penn * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Danny Stewart * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Thompson * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Mitchell * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dera Nd-Ezuma * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Jones | 26 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Myles | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Junior Fortunat | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Novar Gadson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tommy Pereira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Boynton * | 32 | 9-13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Patric Young * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 28 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Erving Walker * | 26 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Will Yeguete * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mike Rosario | 18 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Scottie Wilbekin | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Casey Prather | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Erik Murphy | 12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Cody Larson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter