Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +9 (61-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Thompson * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Penn * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Danny Stewart * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Novar Gadson * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Mitchell * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Anthony Myles | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Jones | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Junior Fortunat | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dera Nd-Ezuma | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Desmond Wade * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rakim Sanders * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Maurice Barrow * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Olander * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Colin Nickerson | 29 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jamel Fields | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Adam Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Matthews | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Crawford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter