Rider Broncs
2012 Team Stats (5 games)
72.6
PPG
83.2
Opp
-10.6
Margin
47.9%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
31.6
RPG
15.4
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.9
Adj PPG
72.3
Adj Opp PPG
#220
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1006 (#164) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 956 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1021 (#140) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.7 (#222) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.3 (#174) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.383 (#228) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.338 (#224) | AdjNet -5.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.337 (#224) | AdjNet -5.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.424 (#220) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.507 (#159) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.460 (#187) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.477 (#182) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 979 (#181) | RD 150 | GP 30 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff Jones
|
G | 28 | 28.2 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 13.9 | -39 | 23 | -1.7 | -2.6 | 44.6 | 38.6 | 77.4 | -1.5 | 195.1 | 54.8 |
Brandon Penn
|
F | 29 | 28.6 | 11.6 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 15.4 | -31 | 24 | -1.3 | -1.9 | 45.4 | 43.9 | 86.7 | -0.76 | 146.2 | 56.9 |
Danny Stewart
|
F | 30 | 30.5 | 11.1 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 15.2 | -70 | 25 | -2.8 | -4.1 | 59.5 | 0 | 62.5 | -2.45 | 168.3 | 59.5 |
Anthony Myles
|
G | 27 | 26.0 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 12.1 | -7 | 23 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 46.4 | 36.1 | 83.3 | 1.22 | 180.1 | 55.8 |
Novar Gadson
|
G-F | 28 | 23.6 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 11.2 | -17 | 23 | -0.7 | -1.3 | 42.5 | 37.5 | 66.7 | -1.48 | 155.1 | 48.1 |
Jonathan Thompson
|
G | 28 | 31.9 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 13.3 | 7 | 23 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 48.0 | 43.8 | 64.3 | 3.41 | 198.5 | 55.0 |
Eddie Mitchell
|
G | 29 | 20.7 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 6.1 | -26 | 23 | -1.1 | -2.4 | 37.5 | 21.4 | 100.0 | -0.97 | 149.7 | 41.2 |
Junior Fortunat
|
F | 19 | 14.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.3 | -24 | 16 | -1.5 | -4.2 | 42.1 | 0 | 37.5 | -1.81 | 162.1 | 42.1 |
Dera Nd-Ezuma
|
C | 23 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 13 | 18 | 0.7 | 4.5 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 242.2 | 55.6 |
Tommy Pereira
|
G | 15 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | -21 | 13 | -1.6 | -11.7 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 0 | -3.95 | 266.7 | 91.7 |
Charles Oliver
|
G | 12 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -7 | 10 | -0.7 | -4.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.06 | 167.5 | 50.0 |
Emerson Bursis
|
F | 6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -3 | 5 | -0.6 | -14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.42 | 0 | 0 |
Kevin Noon
|
G | 7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5 | 6 | 0.8 | 14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 150.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG