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Rider Broncs

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

72.6
PPG
83.2
Opp
-10.6
Margin
47.9%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
31.6
RPG
15.4
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.9
Adj PPG
72.3
Adj Opp PPG
#220
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1006 (#164) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 956 (#200) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1021 (#140) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -3.7 (#222) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.3 (#174) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.383 (#228) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.8 More โ†’ 0.338 (#224) AdjNet -5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More โ†’ 0.337 (#224) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.424 (#220) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.507 (#159) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.460 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.477 (#182) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 30 More โ†’ 979 (#181) RD 150 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 57 - 83
2011-11-13 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 78 - 86
2011-11-15 vs Drexel Dragons L 62 - 80
2011-11-17 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 72 - 78
2011-11-21 vs Howard Bison W 74 - 72
2011-11-25 vs James Madison Dukes L 69 - 86
2011-11-26 @ La Salle Explorers L 70 - 82
2011-12-02 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 55 - 71
2011-12-04 @ Marist Red Foxes L 75 - 95
2011-12-09 @ Florida Gators L 69 - 90
2011-12-14 vs Princeton Tigers L 71 - 72
2011-12-17 @ UMBC Retrievers W 73 - 66
2011-12-22 @ Monmouth Hawks W 74 - 62
2011-12-30 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 62 - 79
2012-01-02 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 88 - 77
2012-01-06 vs Marist Red Foxes W 99 - 86
2012-01-08 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 72 - 58
2012-01-16 @ Fairfield Stags L 52 - 61
2012-01-20 @ Iona Gaels L 71 - 91
2012-01-22 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 89 - 65
2012-01-26 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 90 - 55
2012-01-29 vs Siena Saints W 83 - 72
2012-02-03 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 46 - 63
2012-02-05 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 74 - 73
2012-02-09 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 71 - 66
2012-02-15 vs Iona Gaels L 62 - 75
2012-02-18 @ Albany Great Danes L 61 - 70
2012-02-24 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 83 - 79
2012-02-26 vs Fairfield Stags W 65 - 62
2012-03-03 @ Fairfield Stags L 63 - 65

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeff Jones Jeff Jones G 28 28.2 13.5 2.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 1.1 3.0 13.9 -39 23 -1.7 -2.6 44.6 38.6 77.4 -1.5 195.1 54.8
Brandon Penn Brandon Penn F 29 28.6 11.6 6.2 1.4 1.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 15.4 -31 24 -1.3 -1.9 45.4 43.9 86.7 -0.76 146.2 56.9
Danny Stewart Danny Stewart F 30 30.5 11.1 6.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 2.0 2.5 15.2 -70 25 -2.8 -4.1 59.5 0 62.5 -2.45 168.3 59.5
Anthony Myles Anthony Myles G 27 26.0 10.3 3.6 1.4 0.7 0.7 1.9 2.6 12.1 -7 23 -0.3 -0.5 46.4 36.1 83.3 1.22 180.1 55.8
Novar Gadson Novar Gadson G-F 28 23.6 10.2 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2 2.5 2.9 11.2 -17 23 -0.7 -1.3 42.5 37.5 66.7 -1.48 155.1 48.1
Jonathan Thompson Jonathan Thompson G 28 31.9 8.0 3.5 4.6 0.9 0.4 2.3 1.8 13.3 7 23 0.3 0.4 48.0 43.8 64.3 3.41 198.5 55.0
Eddie Mitchell Eddie Mitchell G 29 20.7 4.3 1.9 3.0 1.0 0.1 2.7 1.4 6.1 -26 23 -1.1 -2.4 37.5 21.4 100.0 -0.97 149.7 41.2
Junior Fortunat Junior Fortunat F 19 14.7 3.8 3.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 1.0 6.3 -24 16 -1.5 -4.2 42.1 0 37.5 -1.81 162.1 42.1
Dera Nd-Ezuma Dera Nd-Ezuma C 23 8.5 2.2 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 3.9 13 18 0.7 4.5 55.6 0 0.0 0.4 242.2 55.6
Tommy Pereira Tommy Pereira G 15 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.3 -21 13 -1.6 -11.7 66.7 60.0 0 -3.95 266.7 91.7
Charles Oliver Charles Oliver G 12 5.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.2 -7 10 -0.7 -4.4 33.3 50.0 50.0 -1.06 167.5 50.0
Emerson Bursis Emerson Bursis F 6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -3 5 -0.6 -14.0 0 0 0 -1.42 0 0
Kevin Noon Kevin Noon G 7 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 5 6 0.8 14.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.37 150.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG