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Purdue

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers, Purdue
Program History
Coach: Matt Painter

2024 Team Stats (38 games)

82.4
PPG
69.5
Opp
+12.9
Margin
48.8%
FG%
40.4%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
40.2
RPG
18.3
APG
11.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
84.3
Adj PPG
62.4
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1543 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1421 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 1227 (#2) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +23.4 (#3) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.3 More → +22.9 (#2) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.884 (#9) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.4 More → 0.977 (#3) AdjNet +32.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.7 More → 0.978 (#3) AdjNet +32.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.880 (#3) AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 63.2 More → 0.813 (#2) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 63.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.929 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.922 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 39 More → 1442 (#2) RD 89 | GP 39

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs Samford Bulldogs W 98 - 45
2023-11-10 vs Morehead State Eagles W 87 - 57
2023-11-13 vs Xavier Musketeers W 83 - 71
2023-11-20 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs W 73 - 63
2023-11-21 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 71 - 67
2023-11-22 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 78 - 75
2023-11-28 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 99 - 67
2023-12-01 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 88 - 92
2023-12-04 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 87 - 68
2023-12-09 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 92 - 86
2023-12-16 vs Arizona Wildcats W 92 - 84
2023-12-21 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 100 - 57
2023-12-29 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 80 - 53
2024-01-02 @ Maryland Terrapins W 67 - 53
2024-01-05 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 83 - 78
2024-01-09 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 72 - 88
2024-01-13 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 95 - 78
2024-01-16 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 87 - 66
2024-01-20 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 84 - 70
2024-01-23 vs Michigan Wolverines W 99 - 67
2024-01-28 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 68 - 60
2024-01-31 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 105 - 96
2024-02-04 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 75 - 69
2024-02-10 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 79 - 59
2024-02-15 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 84 - 76
2024-02-18 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 73
2024-02-22 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 96 - 68
2024-02-25 @ Michigan Wolverines W 84 - 76
2024-03-02 vs Michigan State Spartans W 80 - 74
2024-03-05 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 77 - 71
2024-03-10 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 78 - 70
2024-03-15 vs Michigan State Spartans W 67 - 62
2024-03-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 75 - 76
2024-03-22 vs Grambling Tigers W 78 - 50
2024-03-24 vs Utah State Aggies W 106 - 67
2024-03-29 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 80 - 68
2024-03-31 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 72 - 66
2024-04-06 vs NC State Wolfpack W 63 - 50
2024-04-08 @ UConn Huskies L 60 - 75

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zach Edey Zach Edey - 39 32.0 25.2 12.2 2.0 0.3 2.2 2.3 13.8 25.7 488 36 13.6 16.9 62.3 50.0 71.1 7.39 67.3 62.4
Braden Smith Braden Smith G 39 34.0 12.0 5.8 7.5 1.6 0.1 2.7 10.1 14.3 400 36 11.1 13.0 44.1 43.1 79.5 2.45 54.6 51.3
Lance Jones Lance Jones G 39 28.6 11.7 2.7 1.9 1.3 0.2 1.5 9.6 6.8 359 36 10.0 14.0 41.3 35.7 74.2 3.37 55.2 52.0
Fletcher Loyer Fletcher Loyer G 39 27.8 10.3 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.0 1.2 7.8 6.2 338 36 9.4 13.4 41.6 44.4 86.1 3.78 57.9 52.0
Mason Gillis Mason Gillis F 39 21.2 6.5 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.3 275 36 7.6 14.6 47.9 46.8 86.0 1.48 68.8 65.5
Trey Kaufman-Renn Trey Kaufman-Renn F 39 16.9 6.4 4.0 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.8 4.8 6.4 112 36 3.1 7.5 51.1 33.3 55.7 -2.54 54.9 53.2
Myles Colvin Myles Colvin G 31 8.5 3.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.7 1.8 19 28 0.7 3.4 44.0 41.4 50.0 0.11 58.3 58.3
Camden Heide Camden Heide F 39 12.5 3.3 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.2 3.5 88 36 2.4 8.0 57.6 45.0 73.3 -1.2 69.3 68.2
Will Berg Will Berg C 14 3.9 2.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.7 -22 12 -1.8 -22.1 75.0 0 46.7 -2.48 69.5 75.0
Caleb Furst Caleb Furst F 36 8.9 2.2 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.4 -57 33 -1.7 -8.1 44.1 27.3 67.6 -4.05 52.7 46.6
Brian Waddell Brian Waddell F 14 4.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.9 -24 12 -2.0 -22.9 42.9 16.7 42.9 -2.64 46.8 46.4
Sam King Sam King F 6 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.5 - - - - 25.0 0.0 66.7 -1.3 45.2 25.0
Ethan Morton Ethan Morton G 37 10.0 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 2.1 11 32 0.3 1.4 23.5 21.1 57.1 -2.52 32.4 29.4
Carson Barrett Carson Barrett - 13 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 -3 11 -0.3 -7.1 50.0 50.0 0 -1.4 75.0 75.0
Chase Martin Chase Martin G 13 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.2 -3 11 -0.3 -7.1 12.5 0.0 0 -1.4 12.5 12.5
Jace Rayl Jace Rayl G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Josh Furst Josh Furst F 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG