Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | +15.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +6 (80-74). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Malik Hall * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| AJ Hoggard * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jaden Akins * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Xavier Booker | 12 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Coen Carr | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith * | 40 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 14-20 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 33 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Lance Jones * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Camden Heide | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter