Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hickman * | 40 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | -10.2 |
| R. Nembhard * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -0.9 |
| A. Watson * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -0.9 |
| G. Ike * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -1.0 |
| B. Gregg * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.9 |
| D. Stromer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| B. Huff | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -15.2 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Z. Edey * | 38 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 24 | +1.2 |
| F. Loyer * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +1.0 |
| L. Jones * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +1.2 |
| T. Kaufman-Renn * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | +1.0 |
| M. Gillis | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +18.8 |
| C. Heide | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +15.2 |
| M. Colvin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 |
| E. Morton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter