Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | +21.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +30 (87-57). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Minix * | 33 | 8-20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Drew Thelwell * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kalil Thomas * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Lathon * | 20 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Zach Iyeyemi * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Ricks III | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dieonte Miles | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trent Scott | 17 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jerone Morton | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| George Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brady Dingess | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Fletcher Loyer * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lance Jones * | 26 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Camden Heide | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mason Gillis | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Myles Colvin | 12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Furst | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brian Waddell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| William Berg | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chase Martin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carson Barrett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter