Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 40 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| L. Goode * | 35 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Harmon | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dainja | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Jones * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| F. Loyer * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Kaufman-Renn * | 26 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Z. Edey * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| M. Gillis | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. Morton | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Heide | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Furst | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter