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2024-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% -
Bradley-Terry 81.1% 18.9% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 79.3% 20.7% -
Efficiency 95.3% 4.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.3% 4.7% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith * 39 3-14 1-5 4-4 8 11 4 0 3 11 17 -
Z. Edey * 38 14-18 0-0 7-11 15 2 0 0 0 35 34 +6.1
L. Jones * 34 6-12 3-7 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 15 8 +8.0
F. Loyer * 25 3-8 1-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 1 -6.0
T. Kaufman-Renn * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 4 +1.3
M. Gillis 25 3-9 2-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 8 10 +2.4
C. Heide 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +7.6
E. Morton 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.5
C. Furst 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.2

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDaniel * 38 7-20 2-7 3-3 3 6 2 0 2 19 8 +1.9
T. Williams II * 35 4-9 0-2 3-5 5 3 0 0 0 11 10 -4.9
N. Burnett * 28 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 12 6 +11.0
W. Tschetter * 24 4-6 1-1 1-1 2 1 2 0 2 10 7 -7.9
T. Reed Jr. * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 2 4 +7.1
T. Jackson 22 4-8 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 2 -2.4
Ja. Howard 22 3-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 -5.9
G. Washington III 10 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -14.8
Y. Khayat 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.5

* = starter