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Purdue Boilermakers

Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History

2022 Team Stats (28 games)

77.8
PPG
68.4
Opp
+11.0
Margin
48.4%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
38.5
RPG
15.2
APG
12.0
TO
77.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1665 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1633 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1149 (#24) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +44.2 (#5) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +25.6 (#24) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.772 (#12) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.0 More → 0.817 (#33) NetEff +14.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.5 More → 0.870 (#9) AdjNet +16.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.6 More → 0.872 (#9) AdjNet +16.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.700 (#37) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.933 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.912 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 37 More → 1349 (#13) RD 93 | GP 37

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Bellarmine Knights W 96 - 67
2021-11-12 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 92 - 67
2021-11-16 vs Wright State Raiders W 96 - 52
2021-11-20 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 93 - 84
2021-11-21 vs Villanova Wildcats W 80 - 74
2021-11-26 vs Omaha Mavericks W 97 - 40
2021-11-30 vs Florida State Seminoles W 93 - 65
2021-12-03 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 77 - 70
2021-12-09 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 68 - 70
2021-12-12 @ NC State Wolfpack W 82 - 72
2021-12-18 @ Butler Bulldogs W 77 - 48
2021-12-20 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 79 - 59
2021-12-29 vs Nicholls Colonels W 104 - 90
2022-01-03 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 69 - 74
2022-01-08 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 74 - 67
2022-01-11 @ Michigan Wolverines - Preview
2022-01-14 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 92 - 65
2022-01-17 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 96 - 88
2022-01-20 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 65 - 68
2022-01-23 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 80 - 60
2022-01-27 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 83 - 73
2022-01-30 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 81 - 78
2022-02-02 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 88 - 73
2022-02-05 vs Michigan Wolverines W 82 - 76
2022-02-08 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 84 - 68
2022-02-10 @ Michigan Wolverines L 58 - 82
2022-02-13 vs Maryland Terrapins W 62 - 61
2022-02-16 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 70 - 64
2022-02-20 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 84 - 72
2022-02-26 @ Michigan State Spartans L 65 - 68
2022-03-01 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 67 - 70
2022-03-05 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 69 - 67
2022-03-11 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 69 - 61
2022-03-12 vs Michigan State Spartans W 75 - 70
2022-03-13 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 66 - 75
2022-03-18 vs Yale Bulldogs W 78 - 56
2022-03-20 vs Texas Longhorns W 81 - 71
2022-03-25 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 64 - 67

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Ivey J. Ivey - 32 31.4 16.9 4.6 3.1 0.9 0.5 2.7 11.8 11.5 - - - 45.2 32.7 74.5 1.99 58.9 51.7
Zach Edey Zach Edey - 37 19.0 14.4 7.7 1.2 0.2 1.2 1.7 7.8 15.3 268 7.2 15.1 64.6 0 64.7 2.08 74.7 64.6
T. Williams T. Williams F 33 20.0 11.6 7.5 2.9 0.9 0.5 2.1 8.9 12.5 -95 -5.3 -13.3 52.2 38.5 60.0 1.06 55.8 53.1
S. Stefanovic S. Stefanovic G 33 30.8 10.0 2.5 2.7 0.4 0.2 1.2 7.8 6.9 314 8.5 11.5 37.0 35.7 83.9 1.78 58.6 50.6
E. Hunter Jr. E. Hunter Jr. - 32 26.5 6.7 2.3 2.1 0.6 0.0 1.2 4.9 5.6 187 5.1 7.9 46.8 47.1 70.0 0.86 59.8 57.1
Mason Gillis Mason Gillis F 33 23.5 6.4 4.8 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.8 3.9 8.1 185 5.6 9.7 49.2 42.2 81.2 1.08 72.9 62.7
B. Newman B. Newman G 21 12.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.9 3.4 113 4.5 14.4 33.3 36.1 80.0 0.99 58.2 46.9
Caleb Furst Caleb Furst F 34 14.6 4.1 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.6 135 4.0 10.9 57.6 42.1 72.5 0.65 82.5 63.6
Isaiah Thompson Isaiah Thompson - 32 15.8 3.7 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.8 2.5 189 3.9 11.7 40.9 38.2 77.8 1.3 59.6 55.7
Ethan Morton Ethan Morton G 37 14.8 2.4 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.5 4.1 127 3.4 9.0 46.3 45.2 64.3 0.78 74.8 59.3
M. Frost M. Frost F 7 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 - - - 20.0 0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
C. Barrett C. Barrett - 9 2.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.08 26.9 28.6
J. Wulbrun J. Wulbrun G 9 2.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
C. Martin C. Martin G 8 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 30.1 50.0
B. Waddell B. Waddell F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
T. Kaufman-Renn T. Kaufman-Renn F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG