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2021-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 77.3% 22.7% -
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% -
Margin 60.2% 39.8% -2.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Log Adjusted 64.3% 35.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Furst * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 8 16 -
Z. Edey * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 9 10 -
E. Morton 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Love * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 3 18 24 -
RJ Davis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 18 28 -
D. Garcia * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 4 26 33 -
K. Walton * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
A. Bacot * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
B. Manek 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 6 13 -
A. Harris 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
J. McKoy 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 6 -

* = starter